Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

Geno Smith TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-250).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

Geno Smith's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 70.1% mark.

The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Geno Smith Player Props

Geno Smith TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

Geno Smith TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17