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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a fantastic total of 3.89 yards-after-contact (100th percentile), Geno Smith ranks as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 37.1% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Geno Smith's 4.87 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year signifies a noteworthy diminishment in his rushing ability over last year's 6.85 figure.

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