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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • With an outstanding total of 5.00 yards-after-contact (100th percentile), Geno Smith stands as one of the leading rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • Since the start of last season, the weak Commanders run defense has allowed a monstrous 130.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Raiders are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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