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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see 129.7 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Geno Smith's ground efficiency (6.94 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (77th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • The Los Angeles defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to run on 37.6% of their downs: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • In this week's game, Geno Smith is forecasted by the model to earn the fewest carries out of all QBs with 3.0.
  • Geno Smith has been a less important option in his offense's rushing attack this year (4.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (10.8%).

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