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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a fantastic tally of 2.65 yards-after-contact (92nd percentile), Geno Smith places as one of the leading running quarterbacks in football this year.
  • This year, the daunting Giants run defense has yielded a paltry 5.70 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 32nd-best rate in football.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, New York's DE corps has been lousy this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The projections expect the Raiders to be the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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