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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+111/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a remarkable rate of 2.65 yards-after-contact (94th percentile), Geno Smith places as one of the best rushing QBs in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to run on 33.6% of their plays: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

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