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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a stellar total of 2.56 yards-after-contact (89th percentile), Geno Smith rates as one of the top rushing QBs in football this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's DE corps has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Raiders to run on 37.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Raiders offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Geno Smith's 7.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a material diminishment in his running proficiency over last year's 16.0 rate.

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