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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Raiders offensive scheme to skew 2.1% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly now calling the plays.

Our trusted projections expect the Raiders to be the 10th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 40.6% run rate.

The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders offense to be the quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.33 seconds per play.

With a fantastic total of 6.9 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (76th percentile), Geno Smith stands among the best running QBs in the league last year.

Last year, the poor Patriots run defense has given up a monstrous 135.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 7th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a lousy rate of 0.86 yards-after-contact (15th percentile), Geno Smith places as one of the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league last year.

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