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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to total 6.8 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (23.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.5% in games he has played).
  • Geno Smith's running efficiency (6.25 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (81st percentile among QBs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has had the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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