Geno Smith Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 48.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to total 6.8 carries in this contest, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Geno Smith to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (23.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.5% in games he has played).
Geno Smith's running efficiency (6.25 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (81st percentile among QBs).

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to run the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 55.1 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has had the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.01 yards-per-carry.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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