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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 219.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 234.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 219.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • This year, the deficient Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded a monstrous 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 6th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Geno Smith's 174.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a significant reduction in his throwing skills over last season's 256.0 rate.

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