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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 207.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 205.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 207.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 59.7% of their downs: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.7 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Geno Smith's 176.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a meaningful reduction in his passing ability over last season's 256.0 figure.
  • Geno Smith's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 70.1% mark.

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