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Geno Smith
NFL · Player Props
Geno Smith
QB · Las Vegas Raiders
Passing Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 17, 2025 Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:07 AM UTC
NFL Props Geno Smith Passing Yards

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 204.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 211.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 204.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the deficient New York Giants defense has yielded the 8th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a staggering 7.88 yards.
Favors Under
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Geno Smith's 176.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season indicates a meaningful reduction in his passing ability over last season's 256.0 figure.
  • Geno Smith's 65.9% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates an impressive decrease in his passing accuracy over last year's 70.1% mark.
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