Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 183.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 193.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 183.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
In this contest, Geno Smith is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.4.

Favors Under

The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
The Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Geno Smith has passed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (176.0) this year than he did last year (256.0).
Geno Smith's 65.7% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a material drop-off in his passing accuracy over last season's 70.1% rate.

More Geno Smith Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow