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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 194.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 217.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 194.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Raiders are favored in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to see only 125.5 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 26.9 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Geno Smith has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (188.0) this season than he did last season (256.0).

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