Geno Smith Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Seattle Seahawks

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 243.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 239.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 243.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 60.1% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Geno Smith's 218.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season signifies a a meaningful drop-off in his throwing talent over last season's 255.0 figure.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-lowest level in football versus the Bengals defense this year (63.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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