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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Geno Smith Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-116/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 3rd-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 63.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Geno Smith to throw 36.9 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders offense to be the 4th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.37 seconds per play.

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