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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-136/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • In registering a massive 1.26 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith ranks among the weakest quarterbacks in the league (5th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.1% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football has been the Raiders.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Geno Smith to throw 29.2 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all QBs.
  • Jacksonville's defense ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year when it comes to making interceptions, accumulating 1.42 per game.

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