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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.
  • The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Indianapolis's defense ranks as the 7th-best in football this year as it relates to making interceptions, averaging 0.90 per game.

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