Geno Smith Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Interceptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Raiders to pass on 60.5% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In logging a massive 0.94 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith rates among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (11th percentile).
The Giants have intercepted 0.43 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in the league by this statistic

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projections to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Las Vegas Raiders ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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