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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-222/+170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Raiders being a giant -14-point underdog this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • In this contest, Geno Smith is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 38.4.
  • In registering a staggering 0.94 interceptions per game this year, Geno Smith stands among the weakest quarterbacks in football (8th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (only 52.2 per game on average).
  • The Raiders O-line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Texans have intercepted 1.15 passes per game this year, grading out as the 3rd-best defense in football by this standard.
  • The Houston cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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