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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Raiders are huge underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Geno Smith to throw 36.9 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Raiders offense to be the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.
  • The Las Vegas O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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