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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Interceptions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Raiders being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The projections expect the Raiders as the 4th-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Geno Smith has racked up 1.11 interceptions per game this year, grading out in the 6th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Raiders are expected by the model to call just 61.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 9th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Raiders this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • The Raiders offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Los Angeles's defense grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year as it relates to producing interceptions, notching 0.86 per game.

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