My Account Log Out

reorder

Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The model projects the Raiders as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 62.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week's contest, Geno Smith is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the 7th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.

The Las Vegas offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Raiders are predicted by the model to run just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Geno Smith's passing precision has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 70.1% to 64.4%.

More Geno Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™