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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Completions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Geno Smith Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+160/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

Geno Smith's passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 66.2%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, San Francisco's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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