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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders rank as the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 40.9% run rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 52.1 plays per game.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • The Jaguars safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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