Geno Smith Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Geno Smith

NFL · Player Props

Geno Smith

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 12, 2025 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-152/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Raiders, who are favored by 3.5 points.
With a 40.0% rate of running the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL has been the Las Vegas Raiders.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Tennessee's collection of safeties has been terrible this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.5 total plays run: the 5th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

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