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Geno Smith

Geno Smith Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Geno Smith Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -198 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Raiders being a big -9-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to run on 38.9% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (just 52.5 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Denver defensive tackles rank as the 4th-best DT corps in the league this year with their run defense.

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