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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Garrett Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Jets being a huge -7-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the Jets to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
  • While Garrett Wilson has been responsible for 21.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of New York's passing offense near the end zone in this week's game at 30.8%.
  • Garrett Wilson has totaled a colossal 89.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
  • The Broncos defense has allowed the fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.20 per game this year.

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