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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Garrett Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-255).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -255.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyrod Taylor in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
  • While Garrett Wilson has been responsible for 25.8% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in New York's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 31.4%.
  • When talking about air yards, Garrett Wilson grades out in the towering 90th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 88.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York Jets feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 13.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 121.6 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Jets since the start of last season (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

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