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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Garrett Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-285).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 59.0% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football under these circumstances has been the New York Jets.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Garrett Wilson to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest (31.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (19.0% in games he has played).
  • Garrett Wilson's 82.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 66.4.
  • Garrett Wilson grades out in the 96th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.57 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Garrett Wilson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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