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Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-146/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This week, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.4 targets.

Garrett Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's passing attack this season (34.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.3%).

This year, the poor Browns pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Garrett Wilson's 5.0 adjusted receptions per game this season marks a material regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.0 mark.

The Browns linebackers grade out as the 5th-best collection of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

Garrett Wilson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10