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Garrett Wilson
NFL · Player Props
Garrett Wilson
WR · New York Jets
Receptions
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Garrett Wilson Receptions

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -103.

Favors Over
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Garrett Wilson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (97.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.4%).
  • The model projects Garrett Wilson to earn 10.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Garrett Wilson profiles as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a fantastic 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.
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