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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 60.0% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

This week, Garrett Wilson is anticipated by the model to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.0 targets.

Garrett Wilson's 81.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 59.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Jets to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The Jets have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.

The New York offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

More Garrett Wilson Player Props

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