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Garrett Wilson

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (+101/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 55.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 131.0 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This week, Garrett Wilson is forecasted by the projection model to finish in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.4 targets.
  • Garrett Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's passing attack this season (34.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (27.3%).
  • This year, the poor Browns pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 9.03 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 51.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Garrett Wilson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (80.0 per game) than he did last year (89.0 per game).
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Garrett Wilson has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (56.0) this year than he did last year (70.0).

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