Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Garrett Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Garrett Wilson

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 59.2% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.7% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
In this week's contest, Garrett Wilson is projected by the model to rank in the 93rd percentile among WRs with 9.4 targets.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 6th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

The New York Jets have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.5 plays per game.
Garrett Wilson has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (90.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).
Garrett Wilson is positioned as one of the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.54 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 23rd percentile when it comes to WRs
The Seahawks defense has conceded the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 132.0) to wideouts this year.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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