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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • While Gardner Minshew has accounted for 0.0% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Kansas City's running game in this game at 9.9%.
  • This year, the poor Titans run defense has yielded a massive 131.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Gardner Minshew to total 2.5 carries in this contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • With an awful total of 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (22nd percentile), Gardner Minshew has been among the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL last year.
  • With a lousy total of 1.11 yards-after-contact (23rd percentile), Gardner Minshew rates as one of the bottom rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.

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