Gardner Minshew Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Gardner Minshew

NFL · Player Props

Gardner Minshew

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

Passing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Gardner Minshew Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 245.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles will be rolling with backup quarterback Gardner Minshew in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.9 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Gardner Minshew's throwing efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 8.55 yards-per-target vs just 7.52 figure last year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Gardner Minshew to attempt 31.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all quarterbacks.
Gardner Minshew's passing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 71.4% to 61.4%.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the least yards in football (just 201.0 per game) versus the New Orleans Saints defense this year.

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