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Gardner Minshew

Gardner Minshew Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Gardner Minshew Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • The model projects Gardner Minshew to throw 35.7 passes this week, on balance: the 10th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

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