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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+550/-760).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +550 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +550.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Gabe Davis's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 49.8% to 75.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.0% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • While Gabe Davis has received 18.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Buffalo's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 4.7%.

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