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Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

Gabe Davis's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 49.8% to 75.6%.

The Patriots pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (66.5%) versus WRs this year (66.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Gabe Davis has run fewer routes this season (62.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (80.3%).

The New England Patriots linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Gabriel Davis Player Props

Gabriel Davis ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 15