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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: most in the league.
  • Gabe Davis has been on the field for 72.2% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, placing him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • Right now, the 2nd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Gabe Davis has been one of the most unreliable receivers in football, hauling in just 52.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile among wide receivers
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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