Gabriel Davis Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Gabriel Davis

NFL · Player Props

Gabriel Davis

WR · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
With a high 88.9% Route% (81st percentile) this year, Gabriel Davis stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
Gabriel Davis's 68.6% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a material growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 53.0% mark.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Cincinnati's safety corps has been terrible this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
This year, the fierce Bengals defense has allowed a feeble 60.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 6th-best rate in football.

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