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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • Gabe Davis's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 49.8% to 75.7%.
  • Gabe Davis's 10.8 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a substantial boost in his receiving skills over last season's 6.5 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, implying more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 50.4% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Gabe Davis to be a much smaller part of his team's air attack in this week's game (2.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.2% in games he has played).
  • Gabe Davis has totaled far fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).

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