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Gabriel Davis

Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • The Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on running than their typical game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.
  • The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 111.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • The Texans pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.6%) to wideouts this year (56.6%).

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