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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+820/-1150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a -4-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints to run the most total plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Foster Moreau grades out in the towering 79th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating a staggering 22.0 per game.
  • The Saints offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (2nd percentile) this year, Foster Moreau ranks as one of the tight ends with the most usage near the end zone in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's safety corps has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 5th-best in the league.

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