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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+910/-2400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.
  • This year, the deficient Dolphins defense has been torched for a colossal 76.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the biggest rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the porous Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a massive 0.64 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the highest rate in the league.
  • The Miami Dolphins linebackers project as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • After totaling 25.0 air yards per game last season, Foster Moreau has seen a big downtick this season, currently boasting 3.0 per game.
  • Foster Moreau's 4.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 19.7.

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