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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-950).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +910 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +880.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Foster Moreau ranks in the 83rd percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 0.28 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last year, Foster Moreau has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 3.0 per game.
  • Foster Moreau's 4.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 19.7.
  • Foster Moreau's 57.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a substantial decline in his receiving skills over last year's 75.7% mark.
  • This year, the stout Falcons defense has conceded a feeble 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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