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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1650/-3400).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • With a 59.2% rate of throwing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL in these situations has been the New Orleans Saints.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Foster Moreau grades out in the 84th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 0.29 per game.
  • The Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (83.3%) versus tight ends this year (83.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 54.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • With a feeble 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (2nd percentile) this year, Foster Moreau places among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.
  • After accruing 25.0 air yards per game last year, Foster Moreau has produced significantly fewer this year, currently averaging 2.0 per game.
  • Foster Moreau's 2.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 19.7.

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