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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a giant -8.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Foster Moreau profiles as one of the leading TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 3.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football (56.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Foster Moreau's 3.1% Target Rate this season indicates a meaningful drop-off in his passing attack usage over last season's 8.4% rate.
  • After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last season, Foster Moreau has produced significantly less this season, currently averaging 3.0 per game.
  • Foster Moreau's 8.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a substantial diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 26.0 figure.
  • Foster Moreau's 60.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a material diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 75.7% mark.

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