My Account Log Out
 
 
Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.
  • Foster Moreau profiles as one of the leading TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an excellent 4.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 86th percentile.
  • This year, the shaky Miami Dolphins defense has allowed a staggering 65.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-most in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (81.2%) vs. TEs this year (81.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Foster Moreau's 2.7% Target Rate this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his passing offense volume over last season's 8.4% figure.
  • After totaling 25.0 air yards per game last season, Foster Moreau has seen a big downtick this season, currently boasting 3.0 per game.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™