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Foster Moreau

Foster Moreau Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Foster Moreau Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With a stellar 4.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Foster Moreau stands among the best pass-catching TEs in football in space.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • After accumulating 25.0 air yards per game last year, Foster Moreau has regressed heavily this year, currently pacing 3.0 per game.
  • Foster Moreau's 4.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 19.7.
  • Foster Moreau's 57.2% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a substantial decline in his receiving skills over last year's 75.7% mark.
  • Foster Moreau's 5.2 adjusted yards per target this year represents a significant decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 9.4 rate.

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